Friday, August 5, 2011

Palin's Record on Debt and Liabilities Bests the Rest of the GOP Field

Of all current or former governors among the leading candidates for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination, no one’s record of dealing with his or her state’s debt and unfunded liabilities compares with that of Sarah Palin during her three fiscal years at the helm in Alaska.
The following analysis examines the growth of total debt outstanding and total liabilities, both on an actual and per capita basis, for Alaska under Sarah Palin, Massachusetts under Mitt Romney, Minnesota under Tim Pawlenty, Texas under Rick Perry, and Utah under Jon Huntsman.

Total Debt Outstanding
Of the five governorships examined, Alaska under Palin saw the smallest increase in total debt outstanding (12.7% cumulatively, 4.2% per year). Texas under Perry performed worst, with total debt increasing 20.5% annually, almost tripling during his term (a cumulative increase of 184.2%).
On a per capita basis, only Utah under Huntsman performed slightly better than Alaska under Palin. Utah experienced a cumulative increase of 6.8%, versus 7.4% for Alaska (1.4% per year for Utah, versus 2.5% per year for Alaska). Again, Texas under Perry ranks last, with an astonishing cumulative increase in debt per capita of 140.4% (15.6% on an annual basis).
Candidate
Beginning
Debt Outstanding
Ending
Debt Outstanding
Cumulative
Increase/Decrease
Average Annual Increase/Decrease
Palin
FY07 – FY10
$2.246 Billion
$2.531 Billion
12.7%
4.2%
Huntsman
FY05 – FY10
$3.475 Billion
$4.204 Billion
21.0%
4.2%
Pawlenty
FY03 – FY10
$3.474 Billion
$5.768 Billion
66.0%
9.4%
Romney
FY03 – FY07
$15.963 Billion
$23.026 Billion
44.3%
11.1%
Perry
FY01 – FY10
$12.561 Billion
$35.692 Billion
184.2%
20.5%

Candidate
Beginning
Debt Outstanding
Per Capita
Ending
Debt Outstanding Per Capita
Cumulative
Increase/Decrease
Average Annual Increase/Decrease
Huntsman
FY05 – FY10
$1,391
$1,485
6.8%
1.4%
Palin
FY07 – FY10
$3,326
$3,571
7.4%
2.5%
Pawlenty
FY03 – FY10
$688
$1,090
58.5%
8.4%
Romney
FY03 – FY07
$2,473
$3,543
43.3%
10.8%
Perry
FY01 – FY10
$589
$1,416
140.4%
15.6%
Cumulative Change in Debt Outstanding During Governorship
Average Annual Change in Debt Outstanding During Governorship
Total Liabilities
Alaska under Palin was the only state to see a reduction in total liabilities (34.6% overall, 11.5% per year), due in large part to the Governor’s insistence that the State’s surplus be used to pay down unfunded pension obligations and forward-fund education. All other states experienced cumulative increases in total liabilities, ranging from 19.5% for Massachusetts under Romney to 60.6% for Texas under Perry. On an annualized basis, other states showed increases ranging from 4.9% for Massachusetts under Romney to 8.2% for Utah under Huntsman.
Under Palin, Alaska’s total liabilities per capita fell 37.7% (12.6% per year). All other states experienced cumulative increases, ranging between 18.7% (Massachusetts) and 34.3% (Minnesota), and annual increases, averaging between 4.0% (Texas) and 4.9% (Minnesota and Utah).
Candidate
Beginning
Total Liabilities
Ending
Total Liabilities
Cumulative
Increase/Decrease
Average Annual Increase/Decrease
Palin
FY07 – FY10
$9.847 Billion
$6.436 Billion
-34.6%
-11.5%
Romney
FY03 – FY07
$37.679 Billion
$45.030 Billion
19.5%
4.9%
Pawlenty
FY03 – FY10
$10.188 Billion
$14.366 Billion
40.7%
5.8%
Perry
FY01 – FY10
$48.125 Billion
$77.271 Billion
60.6%
6.7%
Huntsman
FY05 – FY10
$4.501 Billion
$6.351 Billion
41.4%
8.2%

Candidate
Beginning
Total Liabilities
Per Capita
Ending
Total Liabilities
Per Capita
Cumulative
Increase/Decrease
Average Annual Increase/Decrease
Palin
FY07 – FY10
$14,581
$9,079
-37.7%
-12.6%
Perry
FY01 – FY10
$2,256
$3,065
35.8%
4.0%
Romney
FY03 – FY07
$5,837
$6,928
18.7%
4.7%
Huntsman
FY05 – FY10
$1,801
$2,244
24.5%
4.9%
Pawlenty
FY03 – FY10
$2,017
$2,710
34.3%
4.9%
Cumulative Change in Total Liabilities During Governorship
Average Annual Change in Total Liabilities During Governorship
Summary
During the fiscal years for which Sarah Palin exercised budgetary authority as Governor of Alaska (FY08 through FY10)
  Debt outstanding increased 12.7%, or 4.2% per year
  Per capita debt outstanding increased 7.4%, or 2.5% per year
  Total liabilities decreased 34.6%, or 11.5% per year
  Total liabilities per capita decreased 37.7%, or 12.6% per year
During the fiscal years for which Jon Huntsman exercised budgetary authority as Governor of Utah (FY06 through FY10)
  Debt outstanding increased 21.0%, or 4.2% per year
  Per capita debt outstanding increased 6.8%, or 1.4% per year
  Total liabilities increased 41.1%, or 8.2% per year
  Total liabilities per capita increased 24.5%, or 4.9% per year
During the fiscal years for which Tim Pawlenty exercised budgetary authority as Governor of Minnesota (FY04 through FY10)
  Debt outstanding increased 66.0%, or 9.4% per year
  Per capita debt outstanding increased 58.5%, or 8.4% per year
  Total liabilities increased 40.7%, or 5.8% per year
  Total liabilities per capita increased 34.3%, or 4.9% per year
During the fiscal years for which Mitt Romney exercised budgetary authority as Governor of Massachusetts (FY04 through FY07)
  Debt outstanding increased 44.3%, or 11.1% per year
  Per capita debt outstanding increased 43.3%, or 10.8% per year
  Total liabilities increased 19.5%, or 4.9% per year
  Total liabilities per capita increased 18.7%, or 4.7% per year
During the fiscal years for which Rick Perry exercised budgetary authority as Governor of Texas (FY02 through FY10)
  Debt outstanding increased 184.2%, or 20.5% per year
  Per capita debt outstanding increased 140.4%, or 15.6% per year
  Total liabilities increased 60.6%, or 6.7% per year
  Total liabilities per capita increased 35.8%, or 4.0% per year
Sources:
Comprehensive Annual Financial Reports
State of Alaska
Commonwealth of Massachusetts
State of Minnesota
State of Texas
State of Utah
Population Figures
U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census

12 comments:

  1. Excellent! I will share this at C4P in a post later today! Thank you for your excellent work!

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  2. OUTSTANDING... Thanks...

    sarah 2012

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  3. I posted this post with some commentary at C4P, then stuck it up on my little blog. Gov. Palin re-tweeted the post, since Tammy Bruce did. Congrats on the indirect tweet from Gov. Palin. Keep up the stellar work:
    http://twitter.com/#!/SarahPalinUSA/status/99649818175086592

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  4. "It's a matter of public record I did not go to Harvard but I can add" Sarah Palin.

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  5. Congratulations on being Retweeted by Governor Palin!!!

    Cool honor.

    You folks here at Pennsylvanians4palin are providing excellent information to the Palin Fanatic Community!! Our Illinois group had an outreach table at a fair recently and I had a printout of your last big post stuffed in a page protector. Talked to a lot of people about how clearly it showed the Governor's incredible strengths as a conservative executive.

    Blessings !!

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  6. thank you from Indiana 4 Palin-nice work!!

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  7. Well done.

    Was hoping you wouldn't mind if I used your annual debt graphic in an update to my last months blog post about Gov. Perry ? (with appropriate source credit, of course) http://bit.ly/nYce8E

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  8. It's not time to attack Perry and his nearly-11 years as Governor and you're comparing apples and oranges if comparing Alaska and Texas. http://wingright.org/2011/08/06/perry-palin-fish-or-cut-bait/

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  9. Excellent presentation! Another interesting comparison might be budget items vetoed.

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  10. How convenient it is for you to have left out former New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson. His figures would have easily beaten Palin's and led the field.

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  11. CAFRs for the State of New Mexico are only available online beginning with Fiscal Year 2002 (http://www.nmdfa.state.nm.us/New_Mexico_CAFR.aspx). Fiscal Year 1995 numbers would be Gary Johnson's baseline and that data isn't readily accessible. For this reason, and because he barely registers in any polls, his governorship wasn't included in the analysis.

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  12. This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

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